Nebraska: That last path? It's Nebraska's. They also have to win out in order to get to the conference title game. The Badgers cannot win a trip the title game if they lose their next 2 games. 4 of these are if UW wins out, the other 4 are if they win 1 of the next 2. Ignoring the odds for a second, how many paths to a West title does each team have available? Four games means 16 possible results, and with a one-game lead on the field (and a tie-breaker advantage over Nebraska), Wisconsin wins in eight of them, including the six most likely. So that makes for some easy scenario-building. There are four teams still with a shot at the Big Ten West title, and they almost play a round robin these last two weeks: it's Minnesota at Nebraska and Wisconsin at Iowa this Saturday and Minnesota at Wisconsin and Nebraska at Iowa next weekend.
Note to self, let Bill build the table in the future instead of starting one only to have him beat me to it. built this nifty table at the same time I was in the process of building mine. Essentially, the only tiebreaker that comes into play now is head to head record. There is no scenario where 3 of the Quadrangle teams end up in a tie for the division title, so the "in division" metric that might have hurt Minnesota is a moot point. The representative will be chosen by random draw. You really should give his whole post a read before, during, or after reading this one though.ħ. So I'm going to start with a few key facts, run through the official tiebreakers, and then share some fun GIFs to go along with some of the stats/info Bill pulled together in his post. from Football Study Hall dropped his updated Big Ten Conference Projections and made some of what I was attempting to do look, well, not as good. So I expanded my view and looked the paths to a West Division crown for the other three teams as well. At first I was going to focus only on the ways Minnesota could win the West, but that seemed too narrow since the wider picture is important if you want to see how reasonable Minnesota's path is.
BIG TEN CONFERENCE TIEBREAKERS HOW TO
I'd been pondering how to talk about the B1G West race and all of the talk about tie-breakers in an earlier comment thread got my mind running. It's just more fun when the final stretch of a division race can be decided among geographically close teams, many of whom are rivals. Honestly, this is exactly the reason I was so glad that the B1G finally showed some intelligence and split the conference geographically. 4 more games between Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Wisconsin to determine who wins the Big Ten West Division title.
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